No. 13 Miami's victory at Virginia Tech, SMU's 32-point blowout of Louisville and Duke's win at North Carolina further complicated the Hurricanes' shot at reaching conference championship, but there's still a tiny path. The four teams vying for two spots in the Dec. 6 ACC Championship in Charlotte are No. 19 Virginia, Miami, Pittsburgh and SMU.

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The Group of Five is no cakewalk either. Tulane and Navy can reach the American title game by winning out but North Texas can get in if it wins and Navy loses to either Memphis or Army. Tulane was the only Group of Five team in the committee's last rankings, so James Madison needs the Green Wave to lose in order to have a shot at the CFP.

SMU and Virginia have emerged as the frontrunners to compete in the ACC championship game. Per ESPN, both schools have over an 80% chance of making the ACC title game, with SMU holding an 86% chance to do so.